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Friday, June 29, 2012

China main money rate up, market awaits next bank reserve cut - Reuters

Fri Jun 29, 2012 12:02pm IST

  * 7-day repo rate rises 14 bps, but longer-term rates fall      * Market sees window open for bank reserve cut      * Central bank may await June data to make RRR decision        By Lu Jianxin and John Ruwitch      SHANGHAI, June 29 (Reuters) - China's main short-term  lending rate rose 14 basis points on Friday as banks hoarded  money to prepare for extra bank reserve payments due early next  month while the market awaited a cut in bank reserve  requirements.      The benchmark seven-day weighted-average bond repurchase  rate rose to 4.1240 percent at midday from  Thursday's close of 3.9832 percent.      The shortest overnight repo rate rose to  3.6038 percent from 3.5666 percent but tenors above 14-days fell  on expectations that liquidity conditions may improve after July  5, traders said.      The market has recently suffered a liquidity crunch. It  stemmed from the need by banks for more money to meet half-year  regulatory requirements, such as loan-to-deposit ratios, and a  large initial public offering that froze 31 billion yuan ($4.9  billion) from the market this week.      Also, Chinese banks are required to adjust their deposit  reserves on the 5th, 15th and 25th of each month.      Traders said deposits recently have been rising sharply as  banks are succeeding in attracting more savers to enhance their  half-year financial statements. Higher deposits will increase  the amount that banks must set aside as reserve payments on July  5, they said.      "Even major banks appear to have limited money to lend,  keeping short-term funding costs at high levels," said a dealer  at a Chinese commercial bank in Shanghai.      "But the central bank is acting to help the market, and the  market expects it to cut bank reserve requirements in July," the  dealer added.            WINDOW OPEN      The People's Bank of China (PBOC) injected a net 198 billion  yuan into the market via regular open market operations this  week, up sharply from a net injection of 55 billion yuan last  week.      Facing a worse-than-expected economic slowdown, the PBOC has   cut reserve requirement ratios (RRR) twice this year, in  February and May, and it reduced benchmark interest rates once,  in June.      The moves were made partly because the slowdown has hit  capital inflows into China and reduced money supply in the  system.      The PBOC said earlier this month that it and Chinese   financial institutions bought a net 23.4 billion yuan worth of  foreign exchange in May, following a net sale of 60.6 billion  yuan in April.      Average monthly net forex purchases in the first five months  of 2012 was just 50.7 billion yuan, down sharply from 2011's  average of 231.6 billion yuan a month and the 2010's average of  272.4 billion yuan.      For about a decade, the PBOC's injection of base money into  the system via its purchase of foreign currencies flowing into  the country to keep the yuan stable was the single  main source of base money supply in China's financial system.      The PBOC may await June's economic data, to be announced in  mid-July, to decide the timing of another RRR cut, traders said.      "Judging from the acute liquidity shortfall in the market,  an RRR cut in July appears to be inevitable, and the PBOC may  just want to choose a right time," said a dealer at an Asian  bank.                                    Current  Prev close  Change                                         (pct)           (bps)     7-day repo                        4.1240   3.9832     -14.08   7-day SHIBOR                      4.1083   3.9250     -18.33    Note: Repo rate is weighted average.     ($1 = 6.3562 Chinese yuan)     (Editing by Richard Borsuk)  

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